BirminghamGrass1/16-finals1 Jun 2026 · 11:30
M. McDonald
ATP #126USA
VS
N. Budkov Kjaer
ATP #121Norway

Odds

Market
McDonald
Kjaer
Change
Winner

Player analysis

M. McDonald comes into this match in difficult form — 0 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -13.2, meaning M. McDonald has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.4/10, leaving M. McDonald vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — M. McDonald has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -13 over recent matches.

DS -13.2Trend mixed

N. Budkov Kjaer has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -15.6 to 16.8, with at least one match where N. Budkov Kjaer was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving N. Budkov Kjaer vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +21 over the last five.

DS 0.79Trend up

Recent form

Grass court stats

McDonald
Stat
Kjaer
54.5%
Win rate
60%
36–30
W–L
21–14

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted40%
BP saved50%
Aces1
Double faults2
1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted60%
BP saved60%
Aces2
Double faults3

Head to head

First career meeting — rankings, last results at this tournament and a quick stat comparison below.

00
McDonaldKjaer

No prior meetings

Grass 00first on grass
ATP #126McDonald vs KjaerATP #121

Grass H2H: 00 — first meeting on grass

Grass win rate (season): McDonald 55% (3630) · Kjaer 60% (2114)

Quick comparison

McDonaldStatKjaer
55%Grass W%60%
70%1st serve % (L5)70%
60%1st serve won (L5)70%
40%BP conv (L5)60%
1Aces (L5 avg)2