Odds
Player analysis
T. Paul has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -18.5 to 27.1, with at least one match where T. Paul was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving T. Paul vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+27) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.
M. Kecmanovic comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -6.2 to 16.4, with at least one match where M. Kecmanovic was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving M. Kecmanovic vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 9 Mar | Fonseca | 6-2 6-3 | L |
| 7 Mar | Bergs | 1-6 2-6 | W |
| 22 Feb | Tien | 4-6 6-4 6-3 | W |
| 22 Feb | Korda | 4-6 3-6 | L |
| 21 Feb | Fritz | 4-6 3-6 | W |
2W 3L last 5
| 13 Mar | Walton | 6-2 5-7 2-6 | L |
| 13 Mar | McDonald | 6-4 7-6 | W |
| 6 Mar | Cobolli | 3-6 6-3 6-4 | L |
| 28 Feb | Cobolli | 6-7 6-3 4-6 | L |
| 27 Feb | Atmane | 6-3 6-3 | W |

