CincinnatiHard1/32-finals9 Aug 2025 · 23:30
A. Kalinskaya
#21 · Russia
VS
P. Stearns
#47 · USA
KALINSKAYA
1.75
·
STEARNS
2.18

Odds

Market
Kalinskaya
Stearns
Winner
1.75
2.18

Player analysis

A. Kalinskaya comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -8.3, meaning A. Kalinskaya has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.5/10, leaving A. Kalinskaya vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Kalinskaya has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -35 over recent matches.

DS -8.31Trend mixed

P. Stearns shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 76. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -3.0 to 26.3, with at least one match where P. Stearns was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving P. Stearns vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 8.23Trend mixed

Recent form

Recent form bar chartWWWLW

4W 1L last 5

6 MarStearns5-7 5-7W
1 MarTownsend6-7 5-7W
28 FebSelekhmeteva1-6 7-5 5-7W
28 FebStearns6-3 3-6 6-2L
26 FebJuvan0-6 2-6W
Recent form bar chartLWLWL

2W 3L last 5

9 MarMboko6-4 6-1L
6 MarSonmez4-6 6-7W
17 FebGauff6-4 6-4L
16 FebOstapenko6-2 1-6 4-6W
12 FebMuchova6-3 6-4L

Hard court stats

Kalinskaya
Stat
Stearns
60.3%
Win rate
46.2%
170–112
W–L
12–14

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted30%
BP saved40%
Aces2
Double faults2
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved50%
Aces5
Double faults5

Head to head

11
Hard 10
Clay 01
A. Kalinskaya vs P. Stearns head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
CincinnatiHard1/32-finalsKalinskaya7-6 4-6 6-1
RomeClay1/32-finalsStearns6-2 6-3