P. Stearns shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 76. Dominance has been solid and consistent, averaging DS +8.2 (range: -3.0 to 26.3). The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving P. Stearns vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

S. Sierra comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -15.9, meaning S. Sierra has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.1/10, leaving S. Sierra vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.