US OpenHard1/32-finals28 Aug 2025 · 01:10
I. Jovic
#17 · USA
VS
J. Paolini
#7 · Italy
JOVIC
3.72
·
PAOLINI
1.31

Odds

Market
Jovic
Paolini
Winner
3.72
1.31
Total
line 17.5
1.27
Over 17.5
3.22
Under 17.5
Total
line 18.0
1.32
Over 18.0
2.99
Under 18.0
Handicap
games
2.82
-2.0 games
1.4
+2 games
Handicap
games
2.61
-2.5 games
1.46
+2.5 games

Player analysis

I. Jovic comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.4, meaning I. Jovic has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving I. Jovic vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -1.35Trend mixed

J. Paolini has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -6.7 to 8.0, with at least one match where J. Paolini was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving J. Paolini vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 1.24Trend mixed

Recent form

Recent form bar chartLWWWL

3W 2L last 5

10 MarGibson7-5 2-6 6-1L
8 MarTomljanovic5-7 7-5 1-6W
6 MarPotapova7-6 2-6 3-6W
1 MarPaolini5-7 4-6W
28 FebPaolini0-6 6-3 6-3L
Recent form bar chartWLWWL

3W 2L last 5

7 MarJovic6-4 6-7 3-6W
27 FebTomljanovic4-6 6-4 6-4L
24 FebBlinkova3-6 4-6W
18 FebJovic4-6 2-6W
17 FebJovic6-4 1-6 6-0L

Hard court stats

Jovic
Stat
Paolini
69.2%
Win rate
54.2%
63–28
W–L
147–124

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved50%
Aces3
Double faults2
1st serve %70%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved50%
Aces3
Double faults2

Head to head

12
Hard 12
I. Jovic vs J. Paolini head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
WTA Australian OpenHard1/16-finalsJovic6-2 7-6
US OpenHard1/32-finalsPaolini3-6 3-6
Indian WellsHard1/32-finalsPaolini6-7 6-1 3-6