Odds
Player analysis
A. Holmgren has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +2.3 with a downward trend. A. Holmgren is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. Serve quality has been average (6.6/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Holmgren has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -34 over recent matches.
M. Brunold has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.5, meaning M. Brunold has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving M. Brunold vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +22 over the last five.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 26 Apr | Kwon | 4-6 5-7 | L |
| 24 Apr | Shimizu | 6-7 4-6 | W |
| 23 Apr | Galarneau | 4-6 3-6 | W |
| 21 Apr | Bu | 6-4 6-4 | W |
| 18 Apr | Broady | 3-6 6-4 4-6 | L |
3W 2L last 5
| 30 Apr | Damas | 6-3 6-1 | L |
| 28 Apr | Barrena | 6-3 4-6 6-3 | W |
| 27 Apr | Kravchenko | 4-6 6-4 6-2 | W |
| 26 Apr | Rosenkranz | 6-2 6-3 | W |
| 19 Apr | Damas | 6-3 6-3 | L |

