MiamiHard1/16-finals23 Mar 2025 · 21:10
B. Nakashima
#30 · USA
VS
D. Goffin
#156 · Belgium

Odds

Market
Nakashima
Goffin
Winner

Player analysis

B. Nakashima has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +6.5. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. Serve quality has been average (6.7/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability.

DS 6.46Trend mixed

D. Goffin comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -9.9, meaning D. Goffin has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.3/10, leaving D. Goffin vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -9.86Trend mixed

Recent form

Recent form bar chartLLWWL

2W 3L last 5

12 MarBautista-Agut6-1 6-4L
2 MarTseng6-4 6-1L
17 FebGoffin6-4 3-6 4-6W
9 FebGoffin6-7 7-5 1-6W
25 OctGoffin7-5 7-5L
Recent form bar chartWLLWL

2W 3L last 5

8 MarNakashima6-7 7-5 4-6W
6 MarNakashima6-3 6-4L
28 FebTiafoe3-6 7-6 6-4L
27 FebVacherot6-2 2-6 3-6W
26 FebNakashima6-4 6-4L

Hard court stats

Nakashima
Stat
Goffin
63.1%
Win rate
59.8%
197–115
W–L
344–231

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved60%
Aces13
Double faults1
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted50%
BP saved40%
Aces5
Double faults2

Head to head

40
Hard 20
Indoor 20
B. Nakashima vs D. Goffin head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
MiamiHard1/16-finalsNakashima6-3 6-7 6-3
AcapulcoHardQuarter-finalsNakashima7-6 6-2
Danderyd Challenger MenIndoorQuarter-finalsNakashima2-6 6-7
BaselIndoor1/16-finalsNakashima2-6 7-6 6-4