CincinnatiHardQuarter-finals16 Aug 2025 · 02:50
J. Paolini
#7 · Italy
VS
C. Gauff
#4 · USA
PAOLINI
2.88
·
GAUFF
1.48

Odds

Market
Paolini
Gauff
Winner
2.88
1.48

Player analysis

J. Paolini has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -6.7 to 8.0, with at least one match where J. Paolini was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving J. Paolini vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 1.24Trend mixed

C. Gauff shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 31. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +7.6. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.4/10, leaving C. Gauff vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +11 over the last five.

DS 7.64Trend mixed

Recent form

Recent form bar chartLLLLL

0W 5L last 5

6 MarGauff6-3 7-6L
20 FebSvitolina6-4 6-7 6-4L
19 FebGauff6-0 6-2L
18 FebGauff2-6 7-6 6-3L
17 FebGauff6-4 6-4L
Recent form bar chartLWWWL

3W 2L last 5

10 MarGibson7-5 2-6 6-1L
8 MarTomljanovic5-7 7-5 1-6W
6 MarPotapova7-6 2-6 3-6W
1 MarPaolini5-7 4-6W
28 FebPaolini0-6 6-3 6-3L

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved50%
Aces3
Double faults2
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted60%
BP saved50%
Aces2
Double faults11

Head to head

33
Indoor 01
Hard 12
Clay 20
J. Paolini vs C. Gauff head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
Finals - RiyadhIndoorGauff6-3 6-2
WuhanHardSemi-finalsGauff6-4 6-3
CincinnatiHardQuarter-finalsPaolini2-6 6-4 6-3
RomeClayFinalPaolini4-6 2-6
StuttgartClayQuarter-finalsPaolini4-6 3-6
WTA CincinnatiHardQuarter-finalsGauff3-6 2-6