Odds
Player analysis
A. Shevchenko comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -6.6, meaning A. Shevchenko has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving A. Shevchenko vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +10 over the last five.
M. Fucsovics has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +5.1. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. Serve quality has been average (6.6/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — M. Fucsovics has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -29 over recent matches.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 21 Mar | Auger-Aliassime | 7-6 7-5 | L |
| 20 Mar | O'Connell | 6-7 3-6 | W |
| 9 Mar | Fucsovics | 3-6 5-7 | W |
| 6 Mar | Musetti | 5-7 1-6 | W |
| 4 Mar | Fucsovics | 7-5 6-3 | L |
4W 1L last 5
| 23 Mar | Shevchenko | 4-6 6-7 | W |
| 22 Mar | Shelton | 7-6 6-7 3-6 | W |
| 20 Mar | Arnaldi | 6-7 7-6 2-6 | W |
| 12 Mar | Quinn | 6-7 6-4 6-2 | L |
| 7 Mar | Shevchenko | 1-6 6-7 | W |
Clay court stats
Avg stats — last 5
Head to head
| Date | Tournament | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adelaide | Hard | 1/8-finals | Shevchenko | 3-6 6-7 | |
| Kitzbuhel | Clay | 1/8-finals | Shevchenko | 7-5 6-4 | |
| Rome | Clay | Final | Shevchenko | 6-4 6-2 | |
| ATP Cincinnati | Hard | Semi-finals | Fucsovics | 2-6 4-6 | |
| ATP Cincinnati | Hard | Semi-finals | Shevchenko | 5-7 4-6 |

