Odds
Player analysis
A. Davidovich Fokina has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -25.5 to 15.7, with at least one match where A. Davidovich Fokina was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving A. Davidovich Fokina vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Davidovich Fokina has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -14 over recent matches.
U. Humbert comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -5.8, meaning U. Humbert has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving U. Humbert vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — U. Humbert has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -23 over recent matches.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 10 Mar | Tien | 4-6 6-1 7-6 | L |
| 8 Mar | Mensik | 6-2 4-6 6-2 | W |
| 7 Mar | Svajda | 7-6 6-2 | W |
| 26 Feb | Bellucci | 6-3 6-3 | L |
| 24 Feb | Altmaier | 5-7 3-6 | W |
1W 4L last 5
| 8 Mar | Michelsen | 5-7 7-6 6-7 | L |
| 25 Feb | Rublev | 6-4 6-7 6-3 | L |
| 24 Feb | Tsitsipas | 6-4 7-5 | W |
| 17 Feb | Marozsan | 3-6 1-6 | L |
| 14 Feb | Minaur | 6-4 6-3 | L |

