Australian OpenHard1/32-finals21 Jan 2026 · 01:45
J. Faria
#115 · Portugal
VS
A. Rublev
#13 · Russia
FARIA
7.65
·
RUBLEV
1.12

Odds

Market
Faria
Rublev
Winner
7.65
1.12

Player analysis

J. Faria shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 134. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +4.2 with a downward trend. J. Faria is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving J. Faria vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 4.18Trend down

A. Rublev shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 45. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -13.8 to 18.5, with at least one match where A. Rublev was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving A. Rublev vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +13 over the last five.

DS 2.8Trend up

Recent form

Hard court stats

Faria
Stat
Rublev
64.3%
Win rate
62.8%
92–51
W–L
311–184

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved70%
Aces6
Double faults5
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved60%
Aces5
Double faults2