Odds
Player analysis
J. Faria shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 134. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +4.2 with a downward trend. J. Faria is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving J. Faria vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
A. Rublev shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 45. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -13.8 to 18.5, with at least one match where A. Rublev was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving A. Rublev vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +13 over the last five.
Recent form
4W 1L last 5
| 26 May | Shapovalov | 6-4 7-5 6-4 | W |
| 21 May | Neumayer | 6-3 7-6 | W |
| 20 May | Smith | 6-1 3-6 6-3 | W |
| 19 May | Dimitrov | 3-6 7-5 7-6 | W |
| 15 May | Nava | 2-6 7-6 6-7 | L |
4W 1L last 5
| 27 May | Carabelli | 1-6 6-1 3-6 6-7 | W |
| 25 May | Buse | 3-6 7-6 3-6 5-7 | W |
| 14 May | Sinner | 6-2 6-4 | L |
| 12 May | Basilashvili | 3-6 7-6 6-2 | W |
| 11 May | Fokina | 6-4 6-4 | W |

