Odds
Player analysis
C. Eubanks comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.3, meaning C. Eubanks has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving C. Eubanks vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — C. Eubanks has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -13 over recent matches.
B. Nakashima comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +4.1 with a downward trend. B. Nakashima is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. Serve quality has been average (6.6/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — B. Nakashima has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -20 over recent matches.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 8 Mar | Nakashima | 6-7 7-5 4-6 | W |
| 6 Mar | Nakashima | 6-3 6-4 | L |
| 28 Feb | Tiafoe | 3-6 7-6 6-4 | L |
| 27 Feb | Vacherot | 6-2 2-6 3-6 | W |
| 26 Feb | Nakashima | 6-4 6-4 | L |
4W 1L last 5
| 6 Oct | Dodig | 6-4 6-4 Ret. | L |
| 30 Sep | Eubanks | 4-6 4-6 Ret. | W |
| 29 Sep | Misolic | 5-7 6-4 2-6 Ret. | W |
| 26 Sep | Eubanks | 5-7 2-6 Ret. | W |
| 24 Sep | Sharipov | 3-6 2-6 Ret. | W |
Clay court stats
Avg stats — last 5
Head to head
| Date | Tournament | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houston | Clay | Quarter-finals | Nakashima | 4-6 4-6 | |
| ATP Stuttgart | Clay | 1/16-finals | Nakashima | 6-7 4-6 | |
| ATP Indian Wells | Hard | 1/64-finals | Nakashima | 3-6 6-7 | |
| ATP Atlanta | Hard | 1/8-finals | Eubanks | 6-7 6-4 7-5 | |
| Tiburon | Hard | 1/8-finals | Nakashima | 7-6 7-5 |

