MiamiHardWTA Semi-finals16 Mar 2026 · 22:10
D. Semenistaja
#103 · Latvia
VS
M. Ekstrand
#366 · USA

Odds

Market
Semenistaja
Ekstrand
Winner
Total
line 19.5
1.91
Over 19.5
1.8
Under 19.5
Handicap
games
1.85
-5.5 games
1.85
+5.5 games

Player analysis

D. Semenistaja has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.4, meaning D. Semenistaja has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.5/10, leaving D. Semenistaja vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — D. Semenistaja has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -18 over recent matches.

DS -0.44Trend mixed

M. Ekstrand comes into this match in difficult form — 0 wins from the last 2. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -16.2, meaning M. Ekstrand has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.1/10, leaving M. Ekstrand vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — M. Ekstrand has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -17 over recent matches.

DS -16.2Trend mixed

Recent form

Recent form bar chartLWLWW

3W 2L last 5

3 MarDay2-6 1-6L
2 MarOsuigwe2-6 6-1 6-3W
6 FebTagger4-6 6-4 6-2L
4 FebHontama4-6 6-7W
3 FebCherubini3-6 1-6W
Recent form bar chartLWLLL

1W 4L last 5

5 FebDominguezL
4 FebOsuigweW
4 NovGurevaL
22 OctLincerL
18 AugCharaeva3-6 4-6 Ret.L

Hard court stats

Semenistaja
Stat
Ekstrand
60.4%
Win rate
50%
84–55
W–L
12–12

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved40%
Aces2
Double faults1
1st serve %60%
1st serve won50%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved40%
Aces5
Double faults2