Odds
Player analysis
R. Pacheco Mendez has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -1.6 to 22.2, with at least one match where R. Pacheco Mendez was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.6/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +16 over the last five.
M. Echargui comes into this match in difficult form — 0 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -13.2, meaning M. Echargui has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.4/10, leaving M. Echargui vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — M. Echargui has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -26 over recent matches.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 11 Apr | Pavlovic | 2-6 6-4 7-6 | L |
| 10 Apr | Artnak | 4-6 6-3 5-7 | W |
| 8 Apr | McDonald | 6-2 6-2 | W |
| 5 Apr | Duckworth | 4-6 6-3 7-6 | L |
| 4 Apr | Ficovich | 6-3 1-6 4-6 | W |
0W 5L last 5
| 26 May | Bertola | 6-2 3-6 6-3 | L |
| 18 May | Tomic | 3-6 7-5 6-3 | L |
| 12 May | Clarke | 6-0 6-3 | L |
| 4 May | Garin | 6-0 6-2 | L |
| 28 Apr | Garin | 7-6 4-6 2-6 | L |

