Odds
Player analysis
D. Dzumhur comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -17.0 to 22.4, with at least one match where D. Dzumhur was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving D. Dzumhur vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — D. Dzumhur has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -19 over recent matches.
B. Nakashima comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +3.1 with a downward trend. B. Nakashima is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving B. Nakashima vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 24 May | Fokina | 6-7 6-3 2-6 7-5 6-3 | L |
| 14 May | Munar | 2-6 6-7 | L |
| 13 May | Quilez | 6-1 6-7 6-4 | W |
| 8 May | Tien | 6-2 6-1 | L |
| 6 May | Mannarino | 6-4 6-0 | W |
2W 3L last 5
| 25 May | Bautista-Agut | 2-6 5-7 2-6 | W |
| 11 May | Basilashvili | 6-7 4-6 | L |
| 9 May | Bautista-Agut | 6-4 6-0 | W |
| 25 Apr | Blockx | 6-3 3-6 4-6 | L |
| 16 Apr | Fils | 6-2 6-3 | L |

