MadridClayFinal4 May 2025 · 18:45
C. Ruud
#12 · Norway
VS
J. Draper
#26 · United Kingdom
RUUD
2.88
·
DRAPER
1.48

Odds

Market
Ruud
Draper
Winner
2.88
1.48

Player analysis

C. Ruud comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -3.0, meaning C. Ruud has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving C. Ruud vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -2.95Trend down

J. Draper has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +1.2 with a downward trend. J. Draper is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving J. Draper vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — J. Draper has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -16 over recent matches.

DS 1.23Trend down

Recent form

Recent form bar chartLWWLL

2W 3L last 5

11 MarAlcaraz6-1 7-6L
10 MarVacherot6-3 3-6 4-6W
7 MarShevchenko1-6 6-7W
25 FebWu6-7 6-7L
20 FebKorda4-6 6-2 6-2L
Recent form bar chartLWWWL

3W 2L last 5

13 MarMedvedev1-6 5-7L
12 MarDjokovic6-4 4-6 6-7W
9 MarCerundolo1-6 5-7W
7 MarBautista-Agut6-3 3-6 2-6W
25 FebRinderknech7-5 6-7 6-4L

Clay court stats

Ruud
Stat
Draper
68.5%
Win rate
56.9%
224–103
W–L
29–22

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP saved80%
Aces7
Double faults1
BP converted30%
1st serve %60%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved60%
Aces8
Double faults3

Head to head

10
Clay 10
C. Ruud vs J. Draper head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
MadridClayFinalRuud7-5 3-6 6-4