Odds
Player analysis
G. Mpetshi Perricard comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.9, meaning G. Mpetshi Perricard has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving G. Mpetshi Perricard vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — G. Mpetshi Perricard has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -24 over recent matches.
N. Djokovic has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -2.7 to 12.4, with at least one match where N. Djokovic was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.7/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 18 May | Tsitsipas | 6-4 7-6 | L |
| 15 May | Halys | 6-3 7-6 | L |
| 14 May | Vukic | 0-6 3-6 | W |
| 13 May | Virtanen | 6-2 5-7 4-6 | W |
| 8 May | Musetti | 6-4 6-4 | L |
2W 3L last 5
| 8 May | Prizmic | 2-6 6-2 6-4 | L |
| 12 Mar | Draper | 6-4 4-6 6-7 | L |
| 9 Mar | Kovacevic | 6-4 1-6 6-4 | W |
| 7 Mar | Majchrzak | 4-6 6-1 6-2 | W |
| 1 Feb | Alcaraz | 2-6 6-2 6-3 7-5 | L |

