Odds
Player analysis
C. Norrie has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -26.2 to 20.3, with at least one match where C. Norrie was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving C. Norrie vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +24 over the last five.
N. Djokovic has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -5.4 to 11.1, with at least one match where N. Djokovic was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving N. Djokovic vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
1W 4L last 5
| 12 Mar | Djokovic | 6-4 4-6 6-7 | W |
| 9 Mar | Djokovic | 6-4 1-6 6-4 | L |
| 7 Mar | Djokovic | 4-6 6-1 6-2 | L |
| 1 Feb | Alcaraz | 2-6 6-2 6-3 7-5 | L |
| 30 Jan | Djokovic | 3-6 6-3 4-6 6-4 6-4 | L |
Clay court stats
Avg stats — last 5
Head to head
| Date | Tournament | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US Open | Hard | 1/16-finals | Djokovic | 6-4 6-7 6-2 6-3 | |
| French Open | Clay | 1/8-finals | Djokovic | 2-6 3-6 2-6 | |
| Geneva | Clay | Semi-finals | Djokovic | 4-6 7-6 1-6 | |
| ATP Davis Cup - World Group | Hard | Djokovic | 6-4 6-4 | ||
| ATP Rome | Clay | 1/8-finals | Djokovic | 6-3 6-4 | |
| Wimbledon | Grass | Semi-finals | Djokovic | 2-6 6-3 6-2 6-4 | |
| Finals - Turin | Indoor | Djokovic | 6-2 6-1 |