TokyoHard1/16-finals25 Sep 2025 · 06:30
G. Diallo
#37 · Canada
VS
T. Fritz
#7 · USA
DIALLO
4.39
·
FRITZ
1.25

Odds

Market
Diallo
Fritz
Winner
4.39
1.25
Total
line 18.5
1.19
Over 18.5
3.92
Under 18.5
Total
line 19.5
1.31
Over 19.5
3.02
Under 19.5
Handicap
games
2.73
-2.0 games
1.49
+2 games
Handicap
games
2.61
-2.5 games
1.53
+2.5 games

Player analysis

G. Diallo comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -4.5, meaning G. Diallo has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving G. Diallo vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — G. Diallo has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -37 over recent matches.

DS -4.48Trend down

T. Fritz comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -12.7 to 12.4, with at least one match where T. Fritz was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving T. Fritz vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — T. Fritz has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -11 over recent matches.

DS 0.75Trend mixed

Recent form

Recent form bar chartLWWLL

2W 3L last 5

9 MarAuger-Aliassime7-6 3-6 3-6L
7 MarRublev7-6 6-7 3-6W
4 MarBellucci6-7 4-6W
17 FebWalton7-6 6-3L
10 FebShelton4-6 4-6L
Recent form bar chartLWLWL

2W 3L last 5

9 MarMichelsen6-4 7-6L
8 MarFearnley3-6 7-6 1-6W
21 FebPaul4-6 3-6L
20 FebJodar7-6 6-4W
15 FebShelton6-3 3-6 5-7L

Hard court stats

Diallo
Stat
Fritz
62.8%
Win rate
64.2%
118–70
W–L
324–181

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted20%
BP saved40%
Aces9
Double faults2
1st serve %70%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted20%
BP saved70%
Aces14
Double faults1

Head to head

03
Hard 02
Grass 01
G. Diallo vs T. Fritz head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
TokyoHard1/16-finalsFritz6-4 3-6 6-7
TorontoHard1/16-finalsFritz4-6 2-6
WimbledonGrass1/32-finalsFritz3-6 6-3 7-6 4-6 6-3