Odds
Player analysis
P. Nesterov has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -9.2 to 15.7, with at least one match where P. Nesterov was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving P. Nesterov vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+41) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.
M. Dhamne comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -7.8, meaning M. Dhamne has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving M. Dhamne vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — M. Dhamne has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -33 over recent matches.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 25 May | Pieri | 3-6 4-6 | L |
| 24 May | Bagnolini | 6-0 6-7 6-3 | W |
| 21 May | Gadamauri | 6-4 6-4 | L |
| 20 May | Dhamne | 6-0 3-6 6-4 | W |
| 19 May | Bondioli | 6-2 6-4 | W |
2W 3L last 5
| 27 May | Bertola | 3-6 4-6 | L |
| 25 May | Silva | 4-6 7-5 6-3 | W |
| 20 May | Nesterov | 6-0 3-6 6-4 | L |
| 18 May | Krueger | 3-6 6-4 7-6 | W |
| 10 May | Canas | 6-2 6-3 | L |

