Odds
Player analysis
H. Gaston comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -4.3, meaning H. Gaston has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.3/10, leaving H. Gaston vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — H. Gaston has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -17 over recent matches.
E. Couacaud has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +3.7 with a downward trend. E. Couacaud is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving E. Couacaud vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 25 May | Monfils | 6-2 6-3 3-6 2-6 6-0 | W |
| 19 May | Khachanov | 6-3 3-6 6-7 | L |
| 17 May | Buse | 6-1 6-2 | L |
| 16 May | Topo | 1-6 2-6 | W |
| 12 May | Shevchenko | 6-1 3-6 6-1 | L |
3W 2L last 5
| 9 Sep | Kukushkin | 5-7 3-6 | W |
| 8 Sep | Catry | 6-3 6-3 | W |
| 7 Sep | Wallart | 6-2 4-6 6-2 | W |
| 17 Aug | Agamenone | 4-6 7-5 2-6 | L |
| 3 Aug | Sorger | 6-4 6-2 | L |

