Odds
Player analysis
L. Musetti has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -3.6, meaning L. Musetti has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving L. Musetti vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — L. Musetti has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -12 over recent matches.
R. Collignon has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -18.1 to 13.4, with at least one match where R. Collignon was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving R. Collignon vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +20 over the last five.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 12 May | Ruud | 3-6 1-6 | L |
| 10 May | Cerundolo | 7-6 6-4 | W |
| 8 May | Perricard | 6-4 6-4 | W |
| 28 Apr | Lehecka | 6-3 6-3 | L |
| 26 Apr | Griekspoor | 4-6 5-7 | W |
3W 2L last 5
| 25 May | Vukic | 6-3 6-3 7-6 | W |
| 20 May | Ruud | 6-7 2-6 | L |
| 19 May | Mannarino | 3-6 6-7 | W |
| 17 May | Cerundolo | 5-7 6-1 7-6 | L |
| 16 May | Griekspoor | 7-5 6-1 | W |

