Australian OpenHard1/32-finals22 Jan 2026 · 07:15
D. Shapovalov
#38 · Canada
VS
M. Cilic
#49 · Croatia
SHAPOVALOV
1.68
·
CILIC
2.32

Odds

Market
Shapovalov
Cilic
Winner
1.68
2.32
Total
line 34.5
1.46
Over 34.5
2.45
Under 34.5
Total
line 35.5
1.54
Over 35.5
2.25
Under 35.5
Handicap
games
3.17
-5.5 games
1.36
+5.5 games
Handicap
games
2.78
-5.0 games
1.44
+5 games

Player analysis

D. Shapovalov comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -5.8, meaning D. Shapovalov has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving D. Shapovalov vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -5.75Trend mixed

M. Cilic comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -5.8 to 17.8, with at least one match where M. Cilic was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.6/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — M. Cilic has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -12 over recent matches.

DS 3.35Trend mixed

Recent form

Recent form bar chartLWWLL

2W 3L last 5

8 MarSinner3-6 2-6L
7 MarEtcheverry3-6 6-2 6-7W
5 MarTsitsipas2-6 6-3 4-6W
24 FebCarreno-Busta6-2 6-4L
15 FebShelton6-4 4-6 6-7L
Recent form bar chartLLLWW

2W 3L last 5

5 MarSvajda7-6 6-4L
17 FebNakashima7-6 7-6L
14 FebFritz7-6 7-6L
13 FebJones1-6 4-6W
12 FebQuinn6-7 3-6W

Hard court stats

Shapovalov
Stat
Cilic
59.8%
Win rate
63.1%
213–143
W–L
385–225

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted40%
BP saved50%
Aces6
Double faults5
1st serve %60%
1st serve won90%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted20%
BP saved70%
Aces14
Double faults3