Odds
Player analysis
J. Choinski arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +4.0 with a downward trend. J. Choinski is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving J. Choinski vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
L. Sonego comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -8.4, meaning L. Sonego has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving L. Sonego vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — L. Sonego has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -28 over recent matches.
Recent form
5W 0L last 5
| 19 May | Andrade | 7-6 6-4 | W |
| 17 May | Fery | 5-7 7-6 6-2 | W |
| 17 May | Piros | 7-6 7-6 | W |
| 14 May | Rodesch | 6-7 6-3 7-5 | W |
| 14 May | Galan | 2-6 7-6 6-4 | W |
1W 4L last 5
| 27 May | Paul | 3-6 2-6 4-6 | L |
| 24 May | Herbert | 7-6 5-7 6-2 1-6 6-4 | W |
| 18 May | Butvilas | 3-6 1-6 | L |
| 7 May | Buse | 3-6 3-6 | L |
| 29 Apr | Bellucci | 4-6 6-1 5-7 | L |

