GenevaClay1/16-finals18 May 2026 · 20:35
L. Sonego
#70 · Italy
VS
E. Butvilas
#232 · Lithuania
SONEGO
1.71
·
BUTVILAS
2.26

Odds

Market
Sonego
Butvilas
Winner
1.71
2.26
Total
line 18.5
1.18
Over 18.5
4.01
Under 18.5
Total
line 19.5
1.3
Over 19.5
3.12
Under 19.5
Handicap
games
3.66
-5.5 games
1.22
+5.5 games
Handicap
games
4.18
-5.0 games
1.17
+5 games

Player analysis

L. Sonego comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -8.4, meaning L. Sonego has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving L. Sonego vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — L. Sonego has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -28 over recent matches.

DS -8.39Trend up

E. Butvilas has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -10.2 to 18.4, with at least one match where E. Butvilas was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.5/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — E. Butvilas has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -24 over recent matches.

DS 4.55Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Sonego
Stat
Butvilas
56.2%
Win rate
50.7%
159–124
W–L
37–36

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted20%
BP saved50%
Aces4
Double faults3
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted30%
BP saved50%
Aces6
Double faults1