Odds
Player analysis
L. Sonego comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -8.4, meaning L. Sonego has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving L. Sonego vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — L. Sonego has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -28 over recent matches.
E. Butvilas has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -10.2 to 18.4, with at least one match where E. Butvilas was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.5/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — E. Butvilas has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -24 over recent matches.
Recent form
1W 4L last 5
| 7 May | Buse | 3-6 3-6 | L |
| 29 Apr | Bellucci | 4-6 6-1 5-7 | L |
| 22 Apr | Lajovic | 3-6 6-7 | L |
| 16 Apr | Rublev | 2-6 3-6 | L |
| 14 Apr | Martinez | 2-6 6-2 4-6 | W |
4W 1L last 5
| 17 May | Duckworth | 5-7 6-7 | W |
| 16 May | Muller | 6-4 6-1 | W |
| 12 May | Coppejans | 6-4 7-6 | L |
| 11 May | Feldbausch | 6-4 7-5 | W |
| 10 May | Santos | 3-6 6-4 6-4 | W |

