Monte CarloClayATP Semi-finals4 Apr 2026 · 16:05
J. Choinski
ATP #101United Kingdom
VS
A. Muller
ATP #127France
CHOINSKI
2
·
MULLER
1.84

Odds

Market
Choinski
Muller
Winner
2
1.84
Total
line 19.0
1.3
Over 19.0
2.97
Under 19.0
Total
line 19.5
1.41
Over 19.5
2.52
Under 19.5
Handicap
games
1.29
-4.0 games
3.2
+4 games
Handicap
games
1.43
-3.5 games
2.58
+3.5 games

Player analysis

J. Choinski arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +4.0 with a downward trend. J. Choinski is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving J. Choinski vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 4Trend down

A. Muller comes into this match in difficult form — 0 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -9.3, meaning A. Muller has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving A. Muller vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Muller has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -32 over recent matches.

DS -9.33Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Choinski
Stat
Muller
61.9%
Win rate
53%
198–122
W–L
140–124

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved60%
Aces5
Double faults3
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted20%
BP saved50%
Aces3
Double faults2

Head to head

First career meeting — rankings, last results at this tournament and a quick stat comparison below.

00
ChoinskiMuller

No prior meetings

Clay 00first on clay
ATP #101Choinski vs MullerATP #127

Clay H2H: 00 — first meeting on clay

Clay win rate (season): Choinski 62% (198122) · Muller 53% (140124)

Last match at Monte Carlo

No finished matches at Monte Carlo yet.

L7 Apr 2026 · ATP Monte Carlo - 1/32-finals
vs C. Moutet · 6-4 6-1
1st serve67%1st won59%Aces0BP conv20%

Quick comparison

ChoinskiStatMuller
62%Clay W%53%
70%1st serve % (L5)60%
70%1st serve won (L5)70%
40%BP conv (L5)20%
5Aces (L5 avg)3