MontemarClay1/16-finals24 Mar 2026 · 15:35
J. Choinski
#120 · United Kingdom
VS
T. Pereira
#289 · Portugal
CHOINSKI
1.233
·
PEREIRA
4.5

Odds

Market
Choinski
Pereira
Winner
1.233
4.5
Total
line 21.0
1.95
Over 21.0
1.74
Under 21.0
Total
line 21.5
2.02
Over 21.5
1.67
Under 21.5
Handicap
games
1.76
-4.5 games
1.94
+4.5 games
Handicap
games
2.04
-5.0 games
1.826
+5 games

Player analysis

J. Choinski comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.0, meaning J. Choinski has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving J. Choinski vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — J. Choinski has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -25 over recent matches.

DS -0.98Trend mixed

T. Pereira comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -26.1 to 46.5, with at least one match where T. Pereira was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving T. Pereira vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 4.7Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Choinski
Stat
Pereira
63%
Win rate
54.4%
194–114
W–L
135–113

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved40%
Aces1
Double faults1
1st serve %60%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted60%
BP saved50%
Aces2
Double faults1