Odds
Player analysis
J. M. Cerundolo has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.3, meaning J. M. Cerundolo has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving J. M. Cerundolo vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
A. Pellegrino shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 285. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -9.2 to 13.0, with at least one match where A. Pellegrino was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving A. Pellegrino vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +18 over the last five.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 6 Mar | Zandschulp | 7-6 6-7 6-3 | W |
| 24 Feb | Garin | 6-3 3-6 3-6 | L |
| 20 Feb | Kopriva | 6-4 6-4 | L |
| 18 Feb | Hanfmann | 4-6 7-6 4-6 | W |
| 17 Feb | Darderi | 6-1 3-6 6-4 | W |
4W 1L last 5
| 27 Feb | Darderi | 3-6 6-3 2-6 | L |
| 25 Feb | Comesana | 6-7 7-6 3-6 | W |
| 23 Feb | Barrena | 6-2 2-6 6-1 | W |
| 22 Feb | Galan | 6-7 7-6 6-4 | W |
| 21 Feb | Villalon | 6-3 6-4 | W |

