Odds
Player analysis
A. Cazaux has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -14.8 to 22.5, with at least one match where A. Cazaux was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.5/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Cazaux has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -16 over recent matches.
L. Draxl comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -8.9, meaning L. Draxl has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.5/10, leaving L. Draxl vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +16 over the last five.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 22 Mar | Tiafoe | 7-6 6-1 | L |
| 21 Mar | Vera | 7-5 6-4 | W |
| 12 Mar | Fearnley | 2-6 6-3 1-6 | W |
| 3 Jan | Landaluce | 6-3 6-2 | W |
| 4 Nov | Norrie | 7-6 6-7 2-6 | L |
2W 3L last 5
| 20 May | Jong | 4-6 6-1 6-3 | L |
| 18 May | Simakin | 4-6 7-6 2-6 | W |
| 11 May | Nava | 6-7 3-6 | L |
| 23 Apr | Feldbausch | 1-6 0-6 | L |
| 20 Apr | Dias | 6-7 6-4 7-6 | W |

