R. Catry has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -9.1 to 9.0, with at least one match where R. Catry was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving R. Catry vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +17 over the last five.

M. Alves comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -4.3, meaning M. Alves has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving M. Alves vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.