Odds
Player analysis
F. Gill has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -3.1, meaning F. Gill has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving F. Gill vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — F. Gill has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -15 over recent matches.
P. Carreno-Busta arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five. Serve quality has been average (6.8/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +11 over the last five.
Recent form
4W 1L last 5
| 17 Mar | Pieczonka | 6-3 3-6 7-6 | W |
| 16 Mar | Arnaboldi | 3-6 6-3 6-4 | W |
| 15 Mar | Parizzia | 6-2 6-4 | W |
| 1 Mar | Cina | 6-3 5-7 7-6 | L |
| 28 Feb | Butvilas | 6-4 7-5 | W |
4W 1L last 5
| 17 Mar | Jover | 6-7 1-6 | W |
| 25 Feb | Lehecka | 6-7 4-6 | L |
| 24 Feb | Shapovalov | 6-2 6-4 | W |
| 22 Feb | Nardi | 6-7 6-4 7-6 | W |
| 21 Feb | Zandschulp | 3-6 2-6 | W |