Odds
Player analysis
F. Gill shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 440. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +3.1 with a downward trend. F. Gill is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving F. Gill vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +14 over the last five.
F. Arnaboldi comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -2.6, meaning F. Arnaboldi has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving F. Arnaboldi vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — F. Arnaboldi has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -20 over recent matches.
Recent form
4W 1L last 5
| 15 Mar | Parizzia | 6-2 6-4 | W |
| 1 Mar | Cina | 6-3 5-7 7-6 | L |
| 28 Feb | Butvilas | 6-4 7-5 | W |
| 27 Feb | Kasnikowski | 0-6 7-6 6-1 | W |
| 26 Feb | Nagal | 6-7 6-0 3-6 | W |
2W 3L last 5
| 15 Mar | Mano | 6-2 3-6 3-6 | W |
| 22 Feb | Knaff | 5-7 4-6 | L |
| 2 Feb | Gakhov | 5-7 7-5 7-5 | L |
| 28 Jan | Droguet | 5-7 4-6 | L |
| 27 Jan | Moeller | 6-4 6-4 | W |

