Odds
Player analysis
A. Fils has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -5.4, meaning A. Fils has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving A. Fils vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Fils has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -16 over recent matches.
P. Carreno-Busta has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -7.9 to 18.0, with at least one match where P. Carreno-Busta was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving P. Carreno-Busta vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 25 Feb | Carreno-Busta | 6-7 4-6 | W |
| 24 Feb | Carreno-Busta | 6-2 6-4 | L |
| 22 Feb | Carreno-Busta | 6-7 6-4 7-6 | L |
| 21 Feb | Zandschulp | 3-6 2-6 | W |
| 17 Feb | Carreno-Busta | 6-4 5-7 3-6 | W |

