Odds
Player analysis
P. Carreno-Busta has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -7.9 to 18.0, with at least one match where P. Carreno-Busta was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving P. Carreno-Busta vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Q. Halys comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -3.8, meaning Q. Halys has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. Serve quality has been average (6.5/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — Q. Halys has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -48 over recent matches.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 25 Feb | Lehecka | 6-7 4-6 | L |
| 24 Feb | Shapovalov | 6-2 6-4 | W |
| 22 Feb | Nardi | 6-7 6-4 7-6 | W |
| 21 Feb | Zandschulp | 3-6 2-6 | W |
| 17 Feb | Halys | 6-4 5-7 3-6 | L |

