MiamiHard1/32-finals21 Mar 2025 · 19:00
A. Michelsen
#40 · USA
VS
C. Ugo Carabelli
#66 · Argentina

Odds

Market
Michelsen
Carabelli
Winner

Player analysis

A. Michelsen has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -15.0 to 17.1, with at least one match where A. Michelsen was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving A. Michelsen vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 1.38Trend mixed

C. Ugo Carabelli comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -7.6, meaning C. Ugo Carabelli has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving C. Ugo Carabelli vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -7.58Trend mixed

Recent form

Recent form bar chartLLWWL

2W 3L last 5

6 MarNakashima6-3 6-4L
4 MarCarabelli7-6 6-3L
25 FebCarabelli4-6 3-6W
17 FebCarabelli3-6 4-6W
13 FebCarabelli6-2 7-5L
Recent form bar chartLLWWW

3W 2L last 5

11 MarMedvedev6-2 6-4L
9 MarMichelsen6-4 7-6L
8 MarHumbert5-7 7-6 6-7W
6 MarAguilar3-6 4-6W
19 FebMichelsen3-6 6-7W

Hard court stats

Michelsen
Stat
Carabelli
60.4%
Win rate
40%
174–114
W–L
20–30

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved60%
Aces6
Double faults2
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved70%
Aces4
Double faults4

Head to head

11
Hard 01
Clay 10
A. Michelsen vs C. Ugo Carabelli head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
MiamiHard1/32-finalsCarabelli7-6 5-7 3-6
Tallahassee Challenger MenClay1/16-finalsMichelsen5-7 6-3 6-2