Odds
Player analysis
J. Nadal comes into this match in difficult form — 0 wins from the last 1. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -26.2, meaning J. Nadal has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 3.6/10, leaving J. Nadal vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — J. Nadal has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -18 over recent matches.
H. S. Callejon comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -13.8 to 25.8, with at least one match where H. S. Callejon was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving H. S. Callejon vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +16 over the last five.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 17 May | Tabacco | 4-6 6-3 6-2 | L |
| 10 Feb | Maestrelli | 4-6 6-2 6-4 | L |
| 9 Feb | Fomin | 6-7 1-6 | W |
| 8 Feb | Fonio | 6-1 6-0 | W |
| 3 Feb | Tiffon | 3-6 1-6 | L |
