L. Giustino has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -3.2, meaning L. Giustino has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.5/10, leaving L. Giustino vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

G. Cadenasso comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -16.2 to 9.6, with at least one match where G. Cadenasso was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving G. Cadenasso vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — G. Cadenasso has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -23 over recent matches.