Odds
Player analysis
M. Poljicak shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 564. Point dominance has been clear and improving — average DS of +15.3, trending upward over the last three matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving M. Poljicak vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — M. Poljicak has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -19 over recent matches.
L. Giustino comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.4, meaning L. Giustino has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving L. Giustino vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +24 over the last five.
Recent form
4W 1L last 5
| 30 Apr | Yevseyev | 5-7 1-6 | W |
| 28 Apr | Orlov | 2-6 6-2 4-6 | W |
| 21 Apr | Ghibaudo | 3-6 4-6 | L |
| 20 Apr | Klok | 6-4 7-5 | W |
| 19 Apr | Lomakin | 6-0 6-0 | W |
2W 3L last 5
| 3 Apr | Poljicak | 6-2 3-6 6-2 | L |
| 2 Apr | Lokoli | 3-6 4-6 | W |
| 26 Mar | Valle | 4-6 6-4 6-1 | L |
| 24 Mar | Jacquet | 2-6 6-4 6-0 | W |
| 17 Mar | Forejtek | 2-6 4-6 | L |

