Odds
Player analysis
A. Kovacevic comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +3.2 with a downward trend. A. Kovacevic is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.5/10, leaving A. Kovacevic vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+28) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.
R. Hijikata has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -11.8 to 13.0, with at least one match where R. Hijikata was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving R. Hijikata vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — R. Hijikata has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -33 over recent matches.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 17 Mar | Walton | 6-3 6-7 6-1 | L |
| 17 Mar | Sweeny | 3-6 2-6 | W |
| 11 Mar | Hijikata | 4-6 2-6 | W |
| 9 Mar | Bublik | 7-6 6-7 3-6 | W |
| 8 Mar | Hijikata | 4-6 6-2 6-4 | L |
2W 3L last 5
| 20 Mar | Kovacevic | 4-6 6-3 6-7 | W |
| 9 Mar | Djokovic | 6-4 1-6 6-4 | L |
| 7 Mar | Kovacevic | 6-1 6-4 | L |
| 5 Mar | Hurkacz | 6-7 6-7 | W |
| 26 Feb | Tiafoe | 6-4 3-6 7-6 | L |

