HoustonClay30 Mar 2026 · 17:00
A. Kovacevic
#92 · USA
VS
R. Hijikata
#98 · Australia

Odds

Market
Kovacevic
Hijikata
Change
Winner
Total
line 24.5
1.9
Over 24.5
1.9
Under 24.5
Total
line 23.5
1.83
Over 23.5
1.92
Under 23.5
Handicap
games
2.22
-2.0 games
1.62
+2 games
Handicap
games
1.58
+2.0 games
2.3
-2 games

Player analysis

A. Kovacevic comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +3.2 with a downward trend. A. Kovacevic is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.5/10, leaving A. Kovacevic vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+28) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.

DS 3.24Trend down

R. Hijikata has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -11.8 to 13.0, with at least one match where R. Hijikata was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving R. Hijikata vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — R. Hijikata has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -33 over recent matches.

DS 0.74Trend up

Recent form

Clay court stats

Kovacevic
Stat
Hijikata
34.9%
Win rate
39%
15–28
W–L
16–25

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted60%
BP saved70%
Aces13
Double faults2
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted20%
BP saved40%
Aces7
Double faults3

Head to head

31
Hard 31
A. Kovacevic vs R. Hijikata head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
ATP CincinnatiHardFinalKovacevic6-1 7-6
ATP AcapulcoHardFinalKovacevic6-4 2-6 6-7
ATP Los CabosHard1/8-finalsKovacevic3-6 6-4 4-6
GwangjuHard1/16-finalsHijikata4-6 4-6