Odds
Player analysis
R. A. Burruchaga shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 228. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +2.1 with a downward trend. R. A. Burruchaga is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving R. A. Burruchaga vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +13 over the last five.
K. Khachanov comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -8.9 to 14.0, with at least one match where K. Khachanov was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.6/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — K. Khachanov has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -17 over recent matches.
Recent form
4W 1L last 5
| 29 Mar | Faria | 7-6 4-6 4-6 | W |
| 28 Mar | Angelo | 6-3 6-2 | W |
| 26 Mar | Ribeiro | 6-1 4-6 4-6 | W |
| 24 Mar | Heide | 6-1 6-7 4-6 | W |
| 16 Mar | Fery | 6-2 4-6 4-6 | L |
2W 3L last 5
| 22 Mar | Landaluce | 6-3 7-6 | L |
| 20 Mar | Bautista-Agut | 3-6 3-6 | W |
| 7 Mar | Fonseca | 6-4 6-7 4-6 | L |
| 25 Feb | Brooksby | 7-6 6-4 | L |
| 24 Feb | Shevchenko | 7-6 2-6 3-6 | W |

