Odds
Player analysis
N. Basilashvili has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -8.2 to 22.6, with at least one match where N. Basilashvili was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving N. Basilashvili vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +14 over the last five.
S. Shimabukuro has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +0.9 with a downward trend. S. Shimabukuro is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving S. Shimabukuro vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 16 Mar | Kypson | 3-6 1-6 | W |
| 14 Mar | Moutet | 7-6 6-4 | L |
| 12 Mar | Majchrzak | 7-6 6-3 | W |
| 3 Mar | O'Connell | 6-4 6-4 | L |
| 2 Mar | Mejia | 6-0 2-6 4-6 | W |
3W 2L last 5
| 16 Mar | Bolt | 2-6 7-6 3-6 | W |
| 5 Mar | Shevchenko | 6-4 3-6 6-2 | L |
| 3 Mar | Landaluce | 2-6 7-6 5-7 | W |
| 2 Mar | Smith | 6-7 5-7 | W |
| 26 Feb | Wu | 6-3 7-6 | L |

