MiamiHardATP Semi-finals16 Mar 2026 · 19:10
A. Bolt
#163 · Australia
VS
S. Shimabukuro
#110 · Japan
BOLT
2.66
·
SHIMABUKURO
1.508

Odds

Market
Bolt
Shimabukuro
Winner
2.66
1.508
Total
line 21.5
1.61
Over 21.5
2.18
Under 21.5
Total
line 23.5
2.07
Over 23.5
1.65
Under 23.5
Handicap
games
1.8
+2.5 games
1.91
-2.5 games
Handicap
games
1.74
+3.0 games
1.95
-3 games

Player analysis

A. Bolt comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -5.4, meaning A. Bolt has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving A. Bolt vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Bolt has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -13 over recent matches.

DS -5.42Trend mixed

S. Shimabukuro has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +0.9 with a downward trend. S. Shimabukuro is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving S. Shimabukuro vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 0.89Trend down

Recent form

Recent form bar chartLLLWW

2W 3L last 5

10 MarBonzi3-6 6-3 7-6L
2 MarSchoolkate3-6 7-6 6-4L
15 FebZhang6-2 6-4L
14 FebMoriya6-3 3-6 6-3W
13 FebBlanch5-7 3-6W
Recent form bar chartLWWLW

3W 2L last 5

5 MarShevchenko6-4 3-6 6-2L
3 MarLandaluce2-6 7-6 5-7W
2 MarSmith6-7 5-7W
26 FebWu6-3 7-6L
25 FebMannarino3-6 4-6W

Hard court stats

Bolt
Stat
Shimabukuro
56.8%
Win rate
58.8%
234–178
W–L
163–114

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved60%
Aces13
Double faults3
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted40%
BP saved50%
Aces8
Double faults4

Head to head

02
Hard 01
Clay 01
A. Bolt vs S. Shimabukuro head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
GuangzhouHard1/16-finalsShimabukuro6-3 4-6 1-6
Tunis Challenger MenClaySemi-finalsShimabukuro6-3 6-1