Odds
Player analysis
A. Bolt comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -5.4, meaning A. Bolt has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving A. Bolt vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Bolt has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -13 over recent matches.
S. Shimabukuro has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +0.9 with a downward trend. S. Shimabukuro is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving S. Shimabukuro vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 10 Mar | Bonzi | 3-6 6-3 7-6 | L |
| 2 Mar | Schoolkate | 3-6 7-6 6-4 | L |
| 15 Feb | Zhang | 6-2 6-4 | L |
| 14 Feb | Moriya | 6-3 3-6 6-3 | W |
| 13 Feb | Blanch | 5-7 3-6 | W |
3W 2L last 5
| 5 Mar | Shevchenko | 6-4 3-6 6-2 | L |
| 3 Mar | Landaluce | 2-6 7-6 5-7 | W |
| 2 Mar | Smith | 6-7 5-7 | W |
| 26 Feb | Wu | 6-3 7-6 | L |
| 25 Feb | Mannarino | 3-6 4-6 | W |
Hard court stats
Avg stats — last 5
Head to head
| Date | Tournament | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guangzhou | Hard | 1/16-finals | Shimabukuro | 6-3 4-6 1-6 | |
| Tunis Challenger Men | Clay | Semi-finals | Shimabukuro | 6-3 6-1 |

