Odds
Player analysis
D. Kasatkina shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 62. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -4.7 to 23.7, with at least one match where D. Kasatkina was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.4/10, leaving D. Kasatkina vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+28) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.
N. Bartunkova comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -9.2, meaning N. Bartunkova has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.0/10, leaving N. Bartunkova vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +14 over the last five.
Recent form
4W 1L last 5
| 25 May | Sonmez | 6-4 6-4 | W |
| 21 May | Cristian | 7-6 3-6 6-2 | L |
| 19 May | Stearns | 1-6 3-6 | W |
| 18 May | Samsonova | 7-5 6-3 | W |
| 17 May | Zakharova | 4-6 2-6 | W |
2W 3L last 5
| 26 May | Mboko | 6-1 6-2 | L |
| 11 May | Svitolina | 6-2 6-3 | L |
| 10 May | Keys | 3-6 6-1 4-6 | W |
| 8 May | Grant | 6-4 3-6 4-6 | W |
| 5 May | Potapova | 4-6 6-4 6-2 | L |

