WTA Abu DhabiHardSemi-finals6 Feb 2026 · 15:05
H. Baptiste
#45 · USA
VS
E. Alexandrova
#11 · Russia
BAPTISTE
4.27
·
ALEXANDROVA
1.26

Odds

Market
Baptiste
Alexandrova
Winner
4.27
1.26

Player analysis

H. Baptiste comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -4.2 to 7.0, with at least one match where H. Baptiste was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving H. Baptiste vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — H. Baptiste has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -15 over recent matches.

DS 0.69Trend mixed

E. Alexandrova comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -8.2, meaning E. Alexandrova has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving E. Alexandrova vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — E. Alexandrova has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -28 over recent matches.

DS -8.25Trend mixed

Recent form

Recent form bar chartLWLWL

2W 3L last 5

7 MarRybakina6-7 6-2 2-6L
6 MarArango6-2 2-6 3-6W
14 FebSramkova3-6 5-7L
13 FebZhang6-4 6-4W
6 FebAlexandrova6-3 6-7 3-6L
Recent form bar chartLLLLW

1W 4L last 5

6 MarGibson3-6 5-7L
17 FebLinette2-6 6-4 1-6L
10 FebOstapenko4-6 2-6L
7 FebBejlek7-6 6-1L
6 FebBaptiste6-3 6-7 3-6W

Hard court stats

Baptiste
Stat
Alexandrova
52.8%
Win rate
60.9%
102–91
W–L
227–146

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted40%
BP saved50%
Aces5
Double faults4
1st serve %60%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved40%
Aces3
Double faults3