Odds
Player analysis
C. Gauff comes in with a 4–1 record over recent matches, with wins against quality opposition in the top 25 on average. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -5.0 to 18.9, with at least one match where C. Gauff was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving C. Gauff vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
H. Baptiste has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -5.0, meaning H. Baptiste has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving H. Baptiste vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
4W 1L last 5
| 26 May | Townsend | 6-4 6-0 | W |
| 16 May | Svitolina | 4-6 7-6 2-6 | L |
| 14 May | Cirstea | 4-6 3-6 | W |
| 12 May | Andreeva | 4-6 6-2 6-4 | W |
| 11 May | Jovic | 5-7 7-5 6-2 | W |
3W 2L last 5
| 24 May | Krejcikova | 6-7 7-6 6-2 | W |
| 10 May | Svitolina | 6-1 6-2 | L |
| 8 May | Waltert | 7-6 4-6 4-6 | W |
| 30 Apr | Andreeva | 4-6 6-7 | L |
| 28 Apr | Sabalenka | 6-2 2-6 6-7 | W |