Odds
Player analysis
A. Li comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -5.2, meaning A. Li has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving A. Li vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +16 over the last five.
Z. Bai shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 114. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -21.4 to 22.0, with at least one match where Z. Bai was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.5/10, leaving Z. Bai vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +23 over the last five.
Recent form
1W 4L last 5
| 4 Mar | Gibson | 6-3 7-5 | L |
| 26 Feb | Sonmez | 6-3 6-7 4-6 | L |
| 15 Feb | Noskova | 6-3 5-7 6-4 | L |
| 11 Feb | Cocciaretto | 6-7 7-5 4-6 | L |
| 10 Feb | Frech | 3-6 4-6 | W |
4W 1L last 5
| 21 Jan | Sabalenka | 6-3 6-1 | L |
| 18 Jan | Pavlyuchenkova | 4-6 6-2 6-7 | W |
| 15 Jan | Vidmanova | 4-6 6-4 6-1 | W |
| 14 Jan | Paquet | 1-6 2-6 | W |
| 13 Jan | Korneeva | 6-4 6-3 | W |

