ProstejovClayQuarter-finals5 Jun 2026 · 15:00
S. Baez
ATP #64Argentina
VS
BAEZ
1.29
·
MRVA
3.86
4.05

Prediction

Handicap — S. Baez -4.5
Odds: 1.87 · DeuceHQ model
78%
Baez win prob
78%
Model strength
1.87
Recommended odds

Odds

Market
Baez
Mrva
Change
Winner
1.29
3.86
+-0.19
Total
line 20.5
1.82
Over 20.5
1.88
Under 20.5
Total
line 19.5
1.66
Over 19.5
2.08
Under 19.5
Handicap
games
1.676
-4.0 games
2.24
+4 games
Handicap
games
1.82
-4.5 games
1.88
+4.5 games

Player analysis

Baez enters as a strong favorite at a ranking of 64, having won three of his last five matches including back-to-back straight-set victories. He comes into this quarter-final on clay with mixed recent form, suffering two consecutive losses to Michelsen and Carreno-Busta before recovering with a win over Carballes Baena.

DS 7Trend up

Mrva is an unranked player competing in the quarter-finals at Prostejov with a split recent record of two wins and two losses in his last four matches. His most recent victory came against Forejtek in a tight contest, though he suffered losses to both Poljicak and Cina in recent outings.

DS 0.3Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Baez
Stat
Mrva
67%
Win rate
42.9%
175–86
W–L
6–8

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted40%
BP saved50%
Aces1
Double faults1
1st serve %50%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted60%
BP saved40%
Aces3
Double faults6

Head to head

First career meeting — rankings, last results at this tournament and a quick stat comparison below.

00
BaezMrva

No prior meetings

Clay 00first on clay
ATP #64Baez vs Mrva

Clay H2H: 00 — first meeting on clay

Clay win rate (season): Baez 67% (17586) · Mrva 43% (68)

Last match at Prostejov

W3 Jun 2026 · 1/8-finals
vs T. Boyer · 6-2 6-4
1st serve70%1st won81.1%Aces1BP conv27.3%
W3 Jun 2026 · 1/8-finals
vs P. Boscardin Dias · 4-6 4-6
1st serve45%1st won64.5%Aces1BP conv75%

Quick comparison

BaezStatMrva
67%Clay W%43%
70%1st serve % (L5)50%
70%1st serve won (L5)60%
40%BP conv (L5)60%
1Aces (L5 avg)3