Odds
Player analysis
S. Baez has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +6.6. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving S. Baez vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +17 over the last five.
G. Diallo comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -4.5, meaning G. Diallo has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving G. Diallo vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — G. Diallo has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -37 over recent matches.
Recent form
Hard court stats
Avg stats — last 5
Head to head
| Date | Tournament | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cincinnati | Hard | 1/32-finals | Diallo | 5-7 4-6 | |
| Bucharest | Clay | 1/8-finals | Baez | 7-6 2-6 6-2 |

