Odds
Player analysis
N. Osaka has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -12.9 to 14.5, with at least one match where N. Osaka was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving N. Osaka vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — N. Osaka has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -10 over recent matches.
P. Badosa has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -20.0 to 13.8, with at least one match where P. Badosa was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving P. Badosa vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +10 over the last five.

