French OpenClay1/16-finals30 May 2026 · 11:00
F. Auger-Aliassime
ATP #6Canada
VS
B. Nakashima
ATP #35USA

Odds

Market
Auger-Aliassime
Nakashima
Change
Winner

Player analysis

F. Auger-Aliassime has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +6.5. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving F. Auger-Aliassime vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +22 over the last five.

DS 6.52Trend mixed

B. Nakashima has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +7.8. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.5/10, leaving B. Nakashima vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 7.84Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Auger-Aliassime
Stat
Nakashima
62.4%
Win rate
50.7%
116–70
W–L
38–37

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved70%
Aces8
Double faults4
1st serve %70%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted60%
BP saved50%
Aces9
Double faults0

Head to head

First career meeting — rankings, last results at this tournament and a quick stat comparison below.

00
Auger-AliassimeNakashima

No prior meetings

Clay 00first on clay
ATP #6Auger-Aliassime vs NakashimaATP #35

Clay H2H: 00 — first meeting on clay

Clay win rate (season): Auger-Aliassime 62% (11670) · Nakashima 51% (3837)

Last match at French Open

W28 May 2026 · ATP French Open - 1/32-finals
vs R. A. Burruchaga · 4-6 6-0 7-5 6-1
1st serve63%1st won83.3%Aces7BP conv70%
W28 May 2026 · ATP French Open - 1/32-finals
vs L. van Assche · 7-6 4-6 7-5 1-6 3-6
1st serve62%1st won83.3%Aces12BP conv50%

Quick comparison

Auger-AliassimeStatNakashima
62%Clay W%51%
70%1st serve % (L5)70%
80%1st serve won (L5)80%
50%BP conv (L5)60%
8Aces (L5 avg)9